Thursday, April 28, 2016

Indiana: Last Stand For Cruz?

It's being called an unprecedented, extraordinary alliance to stop Donald Trump from getting delegates in the contests ahead....that being the states of Indiana, New Mexico and Oregon. The idea is this that Kasich will not spend time campaigning in  Indiana thereby it's believed giving  Cruz a better chance at beating Trump and in return  Cruz would pull out of the race in the states of New Mexico and Oregon allowing Kasich to compete solely against the Donald.  Interesting. One has to wonder if their orchestrating this plan could be compared to a Titanic analogy. As the great ship was sinking out of desperation flares were set off and the pumps were working but only allowing them a small measure of time or a last ditch attempt to save the ship. I guess we'll see though  how each of the two would do head to head against Trump as his sole competitor.

To illustrate the polls show this for Indiana

Trump 41%
Cruz     33%
Kasich  16%

Remove Kasich from that contest and  where exactly will the 16 % land?   It'll be fascinating to watch quite risky but probably the last ditch attempt to bring Trump's numbers down. If Trump however does pull off the win Cruz and Kasich handed Donald a lot of ammunition for some convincing rhetoric ....even when they  take actions together they still loose. Trump was not pleased. He made the following statement,

"Wow, just announced that Lyin' Ted and Kasich are going to collude in order to keep me from getting the Republican nomination. DESPERATION!" He also added, "Collusion is often illegal in many other industries and yet these two Washington insiders have had to resort to collusion in order to stay alive."

A fair question to Donald might be isn't this what you claimed you wanted all go head to head against  Cruz without the Kasich effect?  Thus was Trump's request on April 4th as seen in the link below.

Why haven't Donald's opponents  called him on this?  Shouldn't they inquire  isn't this what you said you wanted all along? Well you've got your one on one Donald! Let's see what you can do!   My thoughts....with Donald's convincing win in New York and his latest 5 state sweep days later it seems likewise the Indiana contest might favor him as well.   Donald seems to be on a roll and the Indiana Republicans might be tempted to join  the band wagon. The actual numbers of the 5 state win by Trump could indeed confirm to the Indiana Re-pubs that Cruz would have an extremely hard time not just wining but also competing in the general.
The numbers tell it all,

Trump 57%
Kasich  28%
Cruz      11%

Trump 60%
Kasich 20%
Cruz     15%

Trump 54%
Kasich 23%
Cruz     18%

Trump 56%
Cruz    21%
Kasich 19%

Rhode Island  
Trump 63%
Kasich  24%
Cruz      10%

The question asked by Indianans might be if Cruz has more or less bottomed out on his numbers along the east coast and that among Republicans what possible chance would he have in the general? Even with Trump's high numbers it'll be hard even for him to compete against the much more for Cruz?  Plus when one considers Ted bottomed out as well in the state of Florida where's the practical reason of placing a vote his way?  Granted many vote for the sole reason of making a statement so that their support of whatever or whoever serves to show a substantial level of backing for certain principals  BUT.....if you're goal is to win the White House the chief thing many would hold is who has a better chance of winning country wide.  Cruz?  Perhaps that's become now a hard argument to make? 

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